I'm more than willing to make estate tax repeal permanent, in exchange for taxing capital gains at death subject to a sensible exemption.In his generally favorable reaction to my post, which he kindly labelled as a "must read regardless of one's location on the political spectrum," Stuart noted:
(However, he is willing to consider a full estate tax repeal in exchange for taxing capital gains at death subject to what he terms a "sensible" exemption. Here, we part company.)Our subsequent email correspondence has helped us identify the issues raised by the trade-off I suggest that go beyond the basic arguments for and against estate tax repeal. Though the postponement of the decision may be, as Stuart points out in another post, a death warrant (I know, I know, ...) for the estate tax repeal plan, it is helpful, while the matter is still fresh in our minds, to outline the parameters of the trade-off issues so that when/if the estate tax issue returns to the spotlight there will be a foundation on which to build further, more extensive discussion. Of course, it would not surprise me to see the advocates of estate tax repeal push their proposals back on to center stage a few months from now. All of us know how it works in horror movies, as we think or yell, "He's not dead yet, don't celebrate too soon."
The suggestion that the estate tax be replaced with an income tax on net gain inherent in the decedent's assets at death reflects a wish to correct a fundamental flaw in the income tax system. Permitting these gains to escape income tax forever gives an advantage to those who can afford to hold on to their assets until death, specifically, those who are relatively more wealthy. Factored into a computation of effective income tax rates, this tax escape pretty much contributes to a regressivity in the tax system. Considering that one of the "defenses" for the failure to tax built-in net gain at death is the estate tax that is imposed on the value of the assets holding the gain, any repeal, or even significant minimization of the estate tax, removes that "defense" and requires re-examination of the question.
Taxation of net built-in gain at death is simple. Determining the values of the assets is fairly easy, because it is done not only for federal estate tax purposes, but for state inheritance and estate tax purposes and for state probate purposes. Those estates that as a practical matter don't value assets are almost surely to be within the scope of an exemption structured to let the net built-in gains of poor decedents and those with modest amounts of gains to escape taxation. The adjusted basis of the assets in question can be determined. After all, if the decedent in fact sold such an asset before dying, the need to determine the basis would exist and would be satisfied using the various rules in place to determine adjusted basis. I always scoffed at the argument, raised decades ago as one justification for repealing the short-lived and effectively eliminated taxation of built-in gains at death, that such a provision was "unadministrable" because "no one knew how to figure out, factually, the decedent's adjusted basis in the assets." Hogwash. If the decedent sold the assets, there is no way the courts, the IRS, or even the advocates of letting built-in gains at death go untaxed would accept an argument from the decedent, "Hey, I can't report gain because there's no way of figuring out the adjusted basis because, after all, if I died moments before the sale, there would be no way of figuring out the adjusted basis according to the advocates of not taxing built-in gains at death."
The amount of the exemption needs to be determined after doing some revenue estimation computations that I cannot do because I don't have the information available to the revenue estimators. That is, we need to know how much of an exemption would cause taxation of non-exempt gains to generate revenue equivalent to what the estate tax generates. To do that, we need an income tax rate. The amount of the exemption also needs to be set sufficiently high so that poor and low-income taxpayers do not get taxed. Whether the exemption should be $300,000 or $1,000,000 can be debated, but it ought not be $10,000,000.
There are several approaches to determining the income tax rate. One is to use the rates applicable to taxable income generally. But because this might put a decedent's gains into a higher bracket than would apply if the decedent sold the property uniformly over lifetime, there is a case to be made for using a lower, flat rate. However, because the highest income tax rate is less than the highest estate tax rate, the potential application of higher rates doesn't necessarily require that it be avoided.
The problem of liquidity, that is, finding cash with which to pay what would be the decedent's final income tax liability, can be solved by using the same sort of payment deferral arrangement that exists in the present estate tax for postponement of estate tax payment with respect to certain types of assets. There would be no need to reinvent the wheel.
In our email correspondence, Stuart raised some good questions about the impact of the proposed trade-off of estate tax repeal for taxation of built-in gains at death. I've merged our emails into a dialogue of sorts.
Stuart: I believe that such a tax would, unless modified by some degree of progressivity, shift the tax burden represented by the current estate tax downward, from the more wealthy to the less wealthy and even the middle class. (By way of example, the wealthy have a greater ability to do tax planning that would allow matching of recognized losses and gains, etc.
Jim: If the exemption is set at the appropriate level, and existing income tax rates are used, the burden would be progressive and would not shift the revenue sourcing downward. In fact, properly designed, it would shift it upward, because there would be far less opportunity to escape taxation. The current estate tax is riddled with loopholes that let enormous amounts of wealth go untaxed. The income tax that applies to gains provides far fewer opportunities. Providing the current income tax system is repaired to prevent the use of artificial losses that some taxpayers seem to "discover" in time to offset gains, the income tax is less fragile than the estate tax. There are far more estate tax planning games than gain avoidance games, and with some cleaning up of the grantor trust provisions, the concept of "actual or deemed" ownership can be retained.
Stuart: Perhaps more significantly, intuitively, I suspect that a tax on untaxed capital gains would more than likely burden "new" wealth. That is, a family that has built a significant business with a fairly low basis would be taxed more than, say, a Bush in (at least) the fourth generation of wealth accretion.
Jim: To the contrary, I think taxing capital gains at death favors the new wealth. A taxpayer who starts a business and dies within a short period of time has a high basis to value ratio (unless the thing took off, in which case taxation would not be as burdensome). If the taxpayer started the business 40 years before death, there would be more tax, but the business formed by the taxpayer's grandfather and passed down through gifts, where the basis would be much lower relative to value, would bear a higher burden. So it's "old" wealth that would be carrying the higher burden. That's all transitional, for once in place, basis would step up at death, and thus the business
held for the longer period of time (say, 40 years) would be taxed more than the one held for, say, 10 years. Which may not be that bad of an idea.
Stuart: Finally, how would the system work if, say, Dad gave stock to Sonny. Would the tax be deferred upon Dad's death? In that case, there would be significant gifting and property would likely never get taxed.
Jim: The gift question is interesting. After all, the gift tax "backs up" the estate tax. Because there's no chance, really, of section 102 being repealed, one approach is to tax the donees on the built-in gain when the donor dies (when there would be a higher likelihood of liquidity because the donee is likely to be an heir of the donor). Another possibility is to require donors to include in gross income the net gain built into gifted property. Alternatively, gifted property could be added back and treated as belonging to the donor, with something equivalent to an unlimited section 2035 mechanism. Or, as an alternative to that, gifted property gifted (rather than consumed) by the donee could be added to the capital gains tax applicable when the donee dies.
I expect Stuart will reply on his blog. When he does I'll post a link. Then, because the issue has retreated to the back burner, he and I will wait until it resurfaces before continuing with an extensive continuation of our dialogue.