But it reminded me I had intended to share some commentary on the tax and tax-related proposals mentioned by the President. Now that the crammed schedule of Wednesday (four hours of class, presentation, grading, etc.) and the tooth drilling of Thursday is behind me, I have a moment to present some brief notes.
From the President:
Yet the tax relief is set to expire in the next few years. If we do nothing, American families will face a massive tax increase they do not expect and will not welcome.No, Mr. President, only a few American families will face massive tax increases if the special low rates expire, and though they will appear massive to most people, they won't be massive to the people who incur them, because the return of tax levels to where they had been will affect a very small fraction of these folks' income. Some Americans' tax liabilities would not change if the special low tax rates expire. On the other hand, Mr. President, the alternative minimum tax threatens to carve deeply into the economic well-being of the middle class. Why not fix that problem even if it means that the high rollers give up their special low tax rates? If you need to understand this, take a look at this blog. Scroll through, and you'll find more than enough explanations of why the "we deserve special low tax rates because we're so good for the economy" crowd is serving you about as well as has some sectors of the intelligence community.
Because America needs more than a temporary expansion, we need more than temporary tax relief. I urge the Congress to act responsibly, and make the tax cuts permanent.
From the President:
Keeping America competitive requires us to be good stewards of tax dollars. Every year of my presidency, we've reduced the growth of non-security discretionary spending, and last year you passed bills that cut this spending. This year my budget will cut it again, and reduce or eliminate more than 140 programs that are performing poorly or not fulfilling essential priorities. By passing these reforms, we will save the American taxpayer another $14 billion next year, and stay on track to cut the deficit in half by 2009.I love that first sentence, Mr. President. It's a great soundbite. But cutting the budget deficit in half is like putting fillings in only half the cavity-afflicted teeth. Some of the deficit arises from those special low tax rates. Another significant portion is the cost of war. Trying to wage war while enabling most Americans to lead peacetime lives is oxymoronic. Wars aren't buildings that can be mortgaged.
From the President:
I am pleased that members of Congress are working on earmark reform, because the federal budget has too many special interest projects. And we can tackle this problem together, if you pass the line-item veto.My expectations, Mr. President, is that you will live by these words, and just say no to the requests for special interest expenditures and special interest tax cuts. But I'm willing to predict that a discussion of the definition of special interest would be, ah, interesting.
From the President:
We must also confront the larger challenge of mandatory spending, or entitlements. This year, the first of about 78 million baby boomers turn 60, including two of my Dad's favorite people -- me and President Clinton. This milestone is more than a personal crisis -- it is a national challenge. The retirement of the baby boom generation will put unprecedented strains on the federal government. By 2030, spending for Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid alone will be almost 60 percent of the entire federal budget. And that will present future Congresses with impossible choices -- staggering tax increases, immense deficits, or deep cuts in every category of spending.Well, Mr. President, you're right that entitlement growth threatens the nation's financial health. And it's not just retirement entitlements. Of course the question needs to be studied. Carefully. With input from people who are gifted with skills necessary for analyzing, explaining, and proposing remedies for the structural deficiencies in entitlements. But I fear that the nation will end up with a commission not unlike the one that looked at tax reform, omitted thorough analysis of many alternatives, and recommended changes, from some of which you turned and ran like a little child who hears the dentist's drill for the first time. Make me a promise. Promise you will appoint people because of their expertise, intellgence, willingness to listen, open-mindedness, creativity, and diligence. That disqualifies a lot of the people who might otherwise find their way onto the proposed commission. We don't need folks whose minds are already made up and whose political souls have already been sold to one or another particular devil of a detail.
Congress did not act last year on my proposal to save Social Security -- yet the rising cost of entitlements is a problem that is not going away. And every year we fail to act, the situation gets worse.
So tonight, I ask you to join me in creating a commission to examine the full impact of baby boom retirements on Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. This commission should include members of Congress of both parties, and offer bipartisan solutions. We need to put aside partisan politics and work together and get this problem solved.
From the President:
We will strengthen health savings accounts -- making sure individuals and small business employees can buy insurance with the same advantages that people working for big businesses now get. We will do more to make this coverage portable, so workers can switch jobs without having to worry about losing their health insurance.Making health care affordable at the same price to all people must be balanced with the need to preserve the health of medical insurance companies by adjusting rates to reflect the bad health habits of some Americans. Designing accounts that put responsibility on people might just give people a chance to show themselves that they can be responsible. At the same time, remember it's tough for some people to put away money for future health issues when there are children in the house who are hungry. Tax deductions and tax exclusions work for those who have something to spend and deduct or who have income to exclude. Making coverage portable is a very good, but of course, not new, idea. Considering that part of the retirement entitlement concerns involve health care for retirees, perhaps it would make sense to wrap these issues together. Oh, I could live with a separate commission. But again, I want the experts on it. I want to know what should be done, not what politicians think needs to be done to ensure re-election.
From the President:
Second, I propose to make permanent the research and development tax credit -- (applause) -- to encourage bolder private-sector initiatives in technology.If there is going to be an r&d credit, you're right, it ought to be permanent. It's tough to run a business that engages in r&d without knowing whether there will be a credit 2 or 3 years down the road. The same can be said, by the way, about other credits and tax provisions. It might be fun holding one's breath until reaching the last page of a great mystery novel, but American businesses need an environment of relative certainty, and not one in which it isn't know until May of a particular year that the Congress has retroactively renewed a tax credit back to the beginning of the year. Until entrepreneurs master time travel, they can't go back and grab "do overs" for their January through April business activities.
From the President:
Third, we need to encourage children to take more math and science, and to make sure those courses are rigorous enough to compete with other nations.Of course this will make it easier for them to learn about the tax law, won't it? I'm doing my part, Mr. President, so if you need advice on how to make a course rigorous, send me an e-mail. Perhaps requiring high school sophomores to take a basic federal tax course would get their brains warmed up and ready for the math and science stuff? Rather than seeing those courses as "too hard" and impossible, they'll jump into those courses with a sigh of relief that they get to take "easier stuff" and they'll know that having succeeded in the tax course they can succeed in anything. Even quantum physics, Mr. President. After all, a little dash of subchapter K in one's high school sophomore year puts the entire cosmos into perspective.