Tom Giovanetti, of the
Institute for Policy Innovation, thinks that, to quote the headline of
recent IPI commenatry that “It's Impossible to Accurately Tax an Unrealized Gain.” His argument rests on the premise that the only way to determine “true value of something” is to wait until a willing seller and a willing buyer provide that information by engaging in a presumably arms’-length transaction. He argues that “Value cannot be accurately determined without a transaction between a willing buyer and a willing seller.” Therefore, he argues, “that’s just one reason why the tax on unrealized gains being proposed by some Democrats is such a terrible idea.”
Yet tax law, whether based on income or property value, contract law, tort law, and many other areas of law function smoothly in determining value without the benefit of an actual purchase and sale of the item in question. Local real estate taxes are assessed on the computed market value of real properties. Estate taxes and state inheritance taxes are computed by determining the value of property owned by a decedent or inherited by a beneficiary without that property having been sold to a willing buyer. Insurance claims on stolen or totaled vehicles are paid based on value reflecting other transactions. Losses from breach of contract are calculated without actual transactions having taken place. Business school classes on valuation take students through the details of the comparable sales method, the discounted cash flow method, the earnings multiplier method, and similar analytical approaches.
Giovanetti argues, “So an unrealized gain simply cannot be accurately valued, and how can you accurately tax wealth that cannot accurately be valued? You can’t. And that’s one of the reasons why we have never even attempted to tax unrealized gains.” On that score, he is wrong. Including unrealized gain in gross income already exists in the federal income tax law. Take a look, for example, at Internal Revenue Code section 475 (and state statutes based on it). The computation is based on the listed market price of securities, which is nothing more than a proposed price similar to the asking prices given by Giovanetti as examples of why it supposedly is impossible to put a value on something until that something is actually sold. The battle Giovanetti is fighting was lost long ago, when section 475 was enacted.
That’s not to say that taxing unrealized gains on everything every year is necessarily a good idea. There are worthwhile arguments against the idea, based on issues of liquidity, market disruption, administrability, and ease of avoidance. With those stronger arguments available, it makes no sense to rely on a “cannot determine the true value of something without a sale” objection. If that is perceived as the strongest, or only, argument being offered in opposition to the taxation of unrealized gains, section 475 might soon be expanded beyond the narrow set of situations to which it currently applies.
Of course, the idea that taxation should not take place until something is sold, when coupled with the step-up in basis at death, provides the foundation for the construction of the oligarchic dynasties that are causing far more problems for the nation than the few benefits, if any, that trickle down to the not-wealthy from these gargantuan money piles. Eliminating the step-up in basis at death does nothing to solve the problem because properties are passed from one generation of oligarchs to the next. A wealth tax is problematic, not only because of the administrability and evasion issues, but also because in years when wealth decreases, payments would flow from government to oligarch (not that government funds don’t already flow in that direction, outside of the spotlight that is aimed on payments to the impoverished and struggling middle class).
Perhaps the answer is to undo the cause of the wealth accumulation. Here is something to ponder. What would the nation’s economy look like, and what would the economic situation for the poor, the middle class, the wealthy, and the ultrarich look like if federal and state income tax rates had remained where they were when this nation was in the heyday of the “greatness” that so many want to revive? Why not undo the slide from those years of “greatness” by computing what each individual and corporation would have paid in income tax in each of the last 40 years (going back to when the oligarch takeover began), subtracting what was paid, computing interest, and sending invoices to the taxpayers or their successors in interest, with an exemption for all incomes under, say, $1,000,000 in 2021 dollars adjusted for each year’s equivalent amount. It is possible that under this formula, a few or some taxpayers would receive refunds rather than invoices, though most taxpayers in that situation would be those with incomes too low to have taken advantage of the tax breaks dished out to the ultrarich. Too computationally complicated? Not with modern digital technology.
If nothing is done, and people can debate what should be done, but if nothing is done, the exponential increase in the percentage of the economy owned and operated by the super-ultra-rich will continue and accelerate, the number of people sliding into poverty will increase, the disappearance of the middle class will get worse, and the realization that oligarchic capitalism is simply another version of feudalism and serfdom will come too late. So long as there are enough people willing to defend, and vote for, oligarchic capitalists and their operatives, the slide from “greatness” also will accelerate. What is most troubling is how so many people unhappy with the slide from “greatness” vote for the persons and policies that fuel that slide.