The payroll tax cut did little, if anything, to fix the problems, because the economy is no better at this point than it was when that cut was enacted, and it might even be, by some measures, worse. As a short-term band-aid, it was worth the attempt. As long-term surgery, it fails. It costs too much. It undermines funding for the Social Security program.A few months ago, the current administration resurrected the payroll tax cut concept as a tool to fix the economy. I wrote about this idea in Taxes and the Virus, in which I made it clear that I oppose cutting payroll taxes. Some might ask, “Considering that the payroll tax cut is a demand-side approach, which you claim to support, why do you oppose it?” The answer is that a payroll tax cut puts money into the pockets of the poor and middle class while taking it out of their other pockets. It is another instance of borrowing today in spite of a much higher price in the future.
Now, the current administration once again, according to reports such as this one, is touting payroll tax cuts as an answer. In addition to hastening the arrival of the Social Security and Medicare crises, payroll tax cuts don’t put any money into the hands of the unemployed. They are in greater need of assistance than are those who have jobs, even jobs that don’t pay much, because not much still is more than zero.
But there is a solution. In researching this question, I came upon two of my previous commentaries on the issue, How Politics Generates Tax Complexity and Tax Statutes: More than Just the Internal Revenue Code. When the payroll tax cut enacted in 2011 was extended to include the first two months of 2012, it included a tax of 2 percent of wages received during what was then the two-month extension of the payroll tax cut, to the extent those wages exceeded $18,350. However, when Congress extended the extension to include all of 2012, it repealed the 2 percent tax retroactively.
If there is to be a payroll tax reduction, cutting the payroll tax for taxpayers earning less than, say, $90,000 per year while increasing it for taxpayers earning more than, say, $150,000 per year, would solve two problems. First, it would mitigate the adverse impact of a payroll tax cut on Social Security and Medicare funding. Second, it would provide a tiny offset to the multi-decade shift of income and wealth from the poor and middle class to the elite. That tiny offset could open the door to the remediation that is necessary to fix the problem at the root of the economic mess. When a substantial portion of the population has little or nothing to lose, some people behave in ways that are counterproductive to making progress. Any society in which wealth and income continue to increase disproportionately for the elite, whether monarchs and nobles or their modern-day equivalents, is a society that becomes increasingly unstable.
So, ultimately, I prefer other solutions than cutting payroll taxes. But if they are to be cut, they must be offset with a revenue stream from those who are not in need of relief. And any offset mechanism must be designed to prevent the wealthy and cash-rich corporations to grab benefits as they did with stimulus assistance. Those who are not needy ought not be greedy.